Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Discovery+
France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Karen Khachanov		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.55
	1.49	2.5
	1.53	2.68
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	2.55 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
62.7%

Alex Molcan
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Molcan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Molcan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Karen Khachanov - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Khachanov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Lyon
16.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Gilles Simon	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
11.05.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Lucas Pouille - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Alex Molcan
ATP Lyon
16.05.22	Alex Molcan - Jo-Wilfried Tsonga	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.22	Alex Molcan - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.22	Alex Molcan - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
28.04.22	Alex Molcan - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
25.04.22	Norbert Gombos - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

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