Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.96	1.4
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	3.35	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.35)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
31.1%

Jan-Lennard Struff
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Shintaro Mochizuki - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 104. Struff is ranked ATP: 98.

In recent matches, Mochizuki has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Struff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Struff is a strong favorite.

We predict that Struff will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
26.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW

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