Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Karen Khachanov		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.4
	1.54	2.63
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)	2.44 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
61%

Juncheng Shang
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Karen Khachanov - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 10. Shang is ranked ATP: 238.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Khachanov could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.7%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing
24.09.25	Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	Khachanov K. retired ✺
12.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLW?W
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLW?

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