Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Australia	9Gem
Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Gael Monfils		Learner Tien

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	4.87	1.16
	5.34	1.2
	4.72	1.19	Watch
	5.25	1.17
	4.67	1.21	Watch
	4.8	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3.87)	1.18 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 35.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
19.3%

Learner Tien
80.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Gael Monfils - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tien will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 311. Tien is ranked ATP: 15.

Tien's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tien is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monfils won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Gael Monfils	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Learner Tien - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWL
- Learner Tien
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Nuno Borges - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Learner Tien - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
12.08.26	Learner Tien - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Learner Tien - Gael Monfils	2:1

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