Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Karolina Muchova		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.81	2.01	Watch
	1.86	1.92	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.8	2.01	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
51.5%

Elina Svitolina
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Elina Svitolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Karolina Muchova - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Svitolina will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 14. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 22.

Recent matches Muchova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Svitolina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Muchova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muchova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Miami
21.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Victoria Azarenka	Azarenka V. retired ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.25	Clara Tauson - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LWWL
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Miami
21.03.25	Belinda Bencic - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
13.03.25	Mirra Andreeva - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Danielle Collins - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
09.07.19	Elina Svitolina - Karolina Muchova	2:0
WTA Doha
14.02.19	Elina Svitolina - Karolina Muchova	2:0

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