Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Karolina Muchova		Victoria Azarenka

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.39	3	Watch
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.39	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
68%

Victoria Azarenka
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Victoria Azarenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Azarenka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Karolina Muchova - Victoria Azarenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Azarenka will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 14. Azarenka is ranked WTA: 32.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Muchova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Muchova is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muchova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.25	Clara Tauson - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW
- Victoria Azarenka
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Anhelina Kalinina - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Qinwen Zheng - Victoria Azarenka	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Victoria Azarenka - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Victoria Azarenka - Anhelina Kalinina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
11.03.23	Karolina Muchova - Victoria Azarenka	2:0
WTA US Open
07.09.20	Victoria Azarenka - Karolina Muchova	2:1

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