Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Karolina Pliskova		Anastasia Potapova

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.68	1.55
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.65	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.23)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Pliskova
38.1%

Anastasia Potapova
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Anastasia Potapova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Potapova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.8%	0%	45.2%

Karolina Pliskova - Anastasia Potapova Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Potapova will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Pliskova (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karolina Pliskova will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pliskova (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pliskova is ranked WTA: 197. Potapova is ranked WTA: 56.

Pliskova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Potapova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Potapova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Potapova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pliskova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Anastasia Potapova - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.62%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Pliskova
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Solana Sierra - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Sinja Kraus	2:1 ✺
WTA Linz
10.04.26	Donna Vekic - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWL
- Anastasia Potapova
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Sinja Kraus	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.26	Anna Blinkova - Anastasia Potapova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
13.02.24	Anastasia Potapova - Karolina Pliskova	1:2

Karolina Pliskova - Anastasia Potapova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide