Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Seoul, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Katerina Siniakova		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.02	1.77	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.03	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.22)	1.9 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
49.5%

Darya Kasatkina
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katerina Siniakova's performance.

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Kasatkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katerina Siniakova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Kasatkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.9%	0%	53.1%

Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darya Kasatkina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 77. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 16.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Seoul
15.09.25	Katerina Siniakova - Sohyun Park	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Katerina Siniakova - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Katerina Siniakova - Astra Sharma	2:0 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
09.09.25	Storm Hunter - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Hailey Baptiste - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA US Open
30.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
31.07.25	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
WTA Ningbo
16.10.24	Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
WTA Hamburg
17.07.22	Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Roma
17.09.20	Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova	2:0
16.05.19	Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.18	Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina	Siniakova K. retired
WTA Moscow
18.10.17	Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2

Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide