Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bengaluru 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Keegan Smith		Dominik Palan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.18	4.4	Watch
	1.21	4.91
	1.18	4.3	Watch
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.18	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)	4.45 ↑ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
78.9%

Dominik Palan
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Dominik Palan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominik Palan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Palan than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominik Palan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keegan Smith - Dominik Palan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 289. Palan is ranked ATP: 500.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Palan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smith is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 70.85%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Keegan Smith - Ryotaro Taguchi	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Keegan Smith - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Keegan Smith - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW
- Dominik Palan
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Dominik Palan - Maan Kesharwani	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Taiyo Yamanaka - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Yuttana Charoenphon - Dominik Palan	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Dominik Palan - Joshua Charlton	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Anton Shepp - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Keegan Smith - Dominik Palan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide