Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Keegan Smith		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.97	1.28
	3.47	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
25.4%

Bu Yunchaokete
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Keegan Smith - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 302. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 157.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Yunchaokete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yunchaokete is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Keegan Smith - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Keegan Smith - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Keegan Smith - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	August Holmgren - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro Riedi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

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