Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Keegan Smith		Dylan Dietrich

	1	2
			Watch
	2.18	1.62
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.60	1.49
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.26)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
39.7%

Dylan Dietrich
60.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dylan Dietrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dylan Dietrich than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Keegan Smith - Dylan Dietrich Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dietrich will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 194., and Dietrich is ranked ATP: 409..

Recent results have been tough for Smith (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dietrich has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Smith may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dietrich is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Keegan Smith - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Dylan Dietrich
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Dinko Dinev - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Dylan Dietrich	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Dylan Dietrich - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Dylan Dietrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dylan Dietrich
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Dylan Dietrich - Jeffrey John Wolf	✺

Keegan Smith - Dylan Dietrich