Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Keegan Smith		Edward Winter

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.30
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	2.31 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
59.8%

Edward Winter
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Edward Winter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Keegan Smith - Edward Winter Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 192., and Winter is ranked ATP: 341..

Smith is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Winter have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Smith has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Paul Inchauspe - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Edward Winter
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Tristan Boyer - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Edward Winter - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Edward Winter - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	John Chin - Edward Winter	0:2
17.08.26	Edward Winter - Aidan Kim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Keegan Smith - Edward Winter	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Martin Landaluce - Keegan Smith	✺

Keegan Smith - Edward Winter: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide