Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Keegan Smith		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.30	1.57
	2.30	1.58
	2.40	1.64
	2.33	1.55	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.29	1.59	Watch
	2.29	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.45)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
40.7%

Alexis Galarneau
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 198. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 185.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Galarneau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Paul Inchauspe - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Digvijay Pratap Singh - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Alexis Galarneau - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Alexis Galarneau - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Canceled ✺
17.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWL?L

Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide