Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Keegan Smith		Geoffrey Blancaneaux

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	2.19 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
57.6%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Geoffrey Blancaneaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geoffrey Blancaneaux than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geoffrey Blancaneaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Keegan Smith - Geoffrey Blancaneaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Blancaneaux will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blancaneaux (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 306. Blancaneaux is ranked ATP: 324.

Recent performances by Smith have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blancaneaux's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Blancaneaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Smith could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Geoffrey Blancaneaux - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Keegan Smith - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Keegan Smith - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW
- Geoffrey Blancaneaux
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.02.22	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Keegan Smith	0:2

Keegan Smith - Geoffrey Blancaneaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide