Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bengaluru 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Keegan Smith		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.14	1.79
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
46.2%

Ilya Ivashka
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Keegan Smith - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ivashka will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ivashka: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 289. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 722.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Keegan Smith - Ognjen Milic	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Keegan Smith - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Keegan Smith - Ryotaro Taguchi	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Keegan Smith - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Keegan Smith - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Manish Sureshkumar - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Ilya Ivashka - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Ilya Ivashka - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Liam Broady - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL

Keegan Smith - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide