Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Kei Nishikori		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	5.00	1.17	Watch
	5.00	1.16
	4.70	1.19	Watch
	4.82	1.17	Watch
	4.70	1.17
	4.92	1.20	Watch
	4.80	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.1)	1.18 ↑ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
19.5%

Francis Tiafoe
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

81.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Kei Nishikori - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nishikori will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 436., and Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 8..

Nishikori has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tiafoe is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Tiafoe for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nishikori has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP US Open
28.08.26	Kei Nishikori - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Kei Nishikori - Michael Antonius	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Sebastian Ofner - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Kei Nishikori - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ben Shelton	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
02.09.26	Rei Sakamoto - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
23.10.18	Francis Tiafoe - Kei Nishikori	1:2

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