Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Ugo Humbert		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.61
	2.46	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.37	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.56)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
39.9%

Jack Draper
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Draper will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 18. Draper is ranked ATP: 20.

Two players are playing changeable.

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Draper will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.24	Ugo Humbert - Francisco Comesana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Jack Draper
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Jack Draper - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Jack Draper - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Jack Draper - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Jack Draper	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL

Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide