The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kei Nishikori 43.9%
Sebastian Korda 56.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kei Nishikori's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kei Nishikori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.1%
0%
64.9%
Kei Nishikori - Sebastian Korda Predictions
Users Predictions:
94 users predict this event. Nishikori will win (votes: 33 - 35.1%). Korda will win (votes: 61 - 64.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 55.3% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.
Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.