Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Sebastian Korda		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.51
	1.34	3.51
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	3.47 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
72.5%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Sebastian Korda - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Korda will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Bautista-Agut could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Korda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Korda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
29.02.24	Sebastian Korda - Andrey Rublev	Korda S. retired ✺
28.02.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LW?WW
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Emilio Nava - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Otto Virtanen - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.24	Tomas Machac - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Hugo Grenier - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
04.01.23	Sebastian Korda - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Gijon
13.10.22	Sebastian Korda - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1
ATP Halle
14.06.21	Sebastian Korda - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0

Sebastian Korda - Roberto Bautista-Agut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide