Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 June 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Sebastian Korda		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.31	1.68
	2.3	1.7
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.18	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.71)	1.68 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
43.2%

Tommy Paul
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Korda's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	0%	52.4%

Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Paul will win (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Korda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Korda won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Sebastian Korda - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
30.05.24	Sebastian Korda - Soon Woo Kwon	3:1 ✺
26.05.24	Sebastian Korda - Harold Mayot	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
30.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
27.05.24	Pedro Cachin - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
17.05.24	Nicolas Jarry - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.22	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	3:2
ATP San Diego
28.09.21	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP Parma
28.05.21	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Delray Beach
09.01.21	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	1:2

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