Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Kimberly Birrell		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.87	1.89
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.80	2.01
	1.78	1.90	Watch
	1.78	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberly Birrell
52%

Darya Kasatkina
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberly Birrell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kimberly Birrell - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Birrell is ranked WTA: 41., and Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 74..

Birrell is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Kasatkina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kasatkina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Birrell has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Darya Kasatkina - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kimberly Birrell
WTA Tokyo
24.10.26	Kimberly Birrell - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
WTA Osaka
20.10.26	Kayla Day - Kimberly Birrell	Canceled ✺
20.10.26	Sonay Kartal - Kimberly Birrell	Canceled ✺
WTA Wuhan
12.10.26	Kimberly Birrell - Katie Volynets	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
03.10.26	Marie Bouzkova - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W??LL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Tokyo
24.10.26	Yexin Ma - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Ningbo
19.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
13.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Viktorija Golubic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
30.12.18	Darya Kasatkina - Kimberly Birrell	1:2

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