Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4h 18m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Darya Kasatkina		Talia Gibson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.72	2.09
	1.74	2.01	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
54.7%

Talia Gibson
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Darya Kasatkina - Talia Gibson Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 74., and Gibson is ranked WTA: 42..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Kasatkina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Darya Kasatkina - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.65%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Tokyo
24.10.26	Kimberly Birrell - Darya Kasatkina	Interrupted ✺
24.10.26	Yexin Ma - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Ningbo
19.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
13.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLLW
- Talia Gibson
WTA Osaka
23.10.26	Talia Gibson - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Talia Gibson - Sinja Kraus	2:0 ✺
19.10.26	Talia Gibson - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
09.10.26	Talia Gibson - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
30.09.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL

Darya Kasatkina - Talia Gibson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide