Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.4	1.31	Watch
	3.4	1.34	Watch
	3.45	1.31
	3.32	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
28%

Andrey Rublev
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Rublev (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 107., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 25..

Jacquet is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Rublev has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rublev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Rublev carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.45%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Hugo Gaston - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev	Canceled ✺
31.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Andrey Rublev	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWL?W

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