Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Hugo Gaston		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	4.50	1.20	Watch
	4.33	1.20
	4.50	1.20	Watch
	4.66	1.21	Watch
	5.10	1.19
	4.28	1.22	Watch
	4.25	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.24)	1.2 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
21%

Andrey Rublev
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hugo Gaston - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rublev will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 97., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 25..

Gaston is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Rublev has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rublev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Rublev is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gaston has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 22.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 77.56%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Daniil Medvedev - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev	Canceled ✺
31.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Andrey Rublev	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Hugo Gaston	2:0

Hugo Gaston - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide