Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Rinky Hijikata		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	3.40	1.33	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.40	1.32	Watch
	3.14	1.36	Watch
	3.65	1.30
	3.57	1.30	Watch
	3.30	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.03)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
27.6%

Andrey Rublev
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 82., and Rublev is ranked ATP: 25..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Rublev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Rublev carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 68.95%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Rinky Hijikata - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Raphael Collignon - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Marin Cilic - Andrey Rublev	Canceled ✺
31.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Andrey Rublev	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?WLW

Rinky Hijikata - Andrey Rublev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide