Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Kyrian Jacquet		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.8	2.08
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.81	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
52.7%

Jacob Fearnley
47.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Kyrian Jacquet - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jacquet will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jacquet: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Jacquet (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kyrian Jacquet will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacquet (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Fearnley (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 128. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 77.

Jacquet is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fearnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Emilio Nava - Kyrian Jacquet	3:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rafael Jodar	Jacquet K. retired ✺
08.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWL?W
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Lukas Pokorny - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

Kyrian Jacquet - Jacob Fearnley

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Kyrian Jacquet - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Preview

Form

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