Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.20
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.16	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.65	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.79)	2.16 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
56.5%

Rei Sakamoto
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kyrian Jacquet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rei Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Kyrian Jacquet - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jacquet will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 76., and Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 137..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Sakamoto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.86%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Jaume Munar - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
28.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Seong Chan Hong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Watt - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Anton Shepp - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Rei Sakamoto - Ji Sung Nam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WL?WL

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