Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.70
	2.16	1.70	Watch
	2.08	1.72	Watch
	2.18	1.73
	2.19	1.72	Watch
	2.14	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
44.2%

Luciano Darderi
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyrian Jacquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Kyrian Jacquet - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jacquet will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 29.6% – 90.4%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Luciano Darderi (1.73) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 86., and Darderi is ranked ATP: 19..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Darderi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Darderi in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
28.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Harry Wendelken	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW

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