Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.19	1.61	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	2.11	1.66	Watch
	2.13	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
43.1%

Shintaro Mochizuki
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2%)

Kyrian Jacquet - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 182. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jacquet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mochizuki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jacquet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Kyrian Jacquet - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.8%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Dan Added - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	James McCabe - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2

Kyrian Jacquet - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide