Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	James McCabe		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.98	1.41
	2.60	1.45	Watch
	2.71	1.43	Watch
	3	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.24)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
34.1%

Shintaro Mochizuki
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

James McCabe - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - McCabe (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCabe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 192. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mochizuki is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, McCabe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
09.09.25	James McCabe - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	James McCabe - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 L??WL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Casper Ruud - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - James McCabe	2:1
26.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - James McCabe	2:0
16.05.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - James McCabe	2:0

James McCabe - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide