Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.74	2.08
	1.78	2.03
	1.85	2.04
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	12	1.03	Watch
	12	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (1.9)	1.82 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
29.6%

Stanislas Wawrinka
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stanislas Wawrinka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.5%	0%	35.5%

Brandon Nakashima - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nakashima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wawrinka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.23	Christopher Eubanks - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Brandon Nakashima - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Umag
30.07.23	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
27.10.22	Brandon Nakashima - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2

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