Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Final

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Laslo Djere		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.18	1.7	Watch
			Watch
	2.22	1.74
			Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.99)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laslo Djere
44.3%

Sebastian Baez
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laslo Djere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	0%	76.3%

Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Djere is ranked ATP: 103. Baez is ranked ATP: 31.

Djere is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baez in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Djere won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laslo Djere
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Laslo Djere - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.25	Laslo Djere - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.23	Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Santiago
03.03.23	Laslo Djere - Sebastian Baez	0:2

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