Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Lautaro Midon		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.8
	2.06	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.98)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
45.7%

Jurij Rodionov
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lautaro Midon - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 274. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 184.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Nicolas Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Niels McDonald - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Jurij Rodionov - Christoph Negritu	Canceled ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWL?L

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