Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Leopoldo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.18
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	3.03 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
69.1%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 211. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 390.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guillen Meza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guillen Meza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Stefan Palosi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Salazar	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.02.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0
01.10.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide