Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Lautaro Midon		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.66
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	1.67 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
44.4%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Lautaro Midon - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 225. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 207.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Stefan Palosi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

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