Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Lautaro Midon		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	3	1.32	Watch
	3.14	1.38
	2.87	1.39	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.69)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
31.3%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lautaro Midon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 256. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 133.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barrios Vera is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Midon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Aaron Gil Garcia	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Benjamin Hassan - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lautaro Midon	2:0

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