Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.32	1.55	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.26)	1.57 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
40.5%

Lautaro Midon
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 421. Midon is ranked ATP: 256.

Ambrogi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Midon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ambrogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Midon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ambrogi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.99%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Maximus Jones - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Dante Pagani - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon	0:2
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
11.11.23	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2

Upcoming Matches