Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Lautaro Midon		Nerman Fatic

	1	2
	2	1.73
	2	1.72
	2	1.72
	2	1.73
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.57)	1.73 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
46.3%

Nerman Fatic
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lautaro Midon's form might have worsened.

Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nerman Fatic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nerman Fatic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lautaro Midon - Nerman Fatic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 274. Fatic is ranked ATP: 247.

Recent performances by Midon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fatic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fatic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Fatic will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Milos Karol - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Lautaro Midon - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Zdenek Kolar	Fatic N. retired ✺
14.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Zsombor Piros - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?WWWL

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