Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sofia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Milos Karol		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.51
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milos Karol
36.7%

Lautaro Midon
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Milos Karol - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karol is ranked ATP: 367. Midon is ranked ATP: 274.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Midon could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Milos Karol - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Milos Karol - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Milos Karol - Nitin Kumar Sinha	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Milos Karol - Aristotelis Thanos	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Milos Karol - Preston Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Lautaro Midon - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lautaro Midon	✺

Milos Karol - Lautaro Midon