Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Lorenzo Sonego		Learner Tien

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.8	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
52.9%

Learner Tien
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	0%	40.7%

Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 35 - 60.3%). Tien will win (votes: 23 - 39.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 47.7% – 72.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 55. Tien is ranked ATP: 121.

Sonego is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tien in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW
- Learner Tien
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
16.01.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	3:2 ✺
13.01.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
08.01.25	Learner Tien - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Learner Tien - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW

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