Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Murphy F. (Irl)


	Learner Tien		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.56
	2.57	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.34)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
36.9%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	0%	70.8%

Learner Tien - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 231. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 300.

Tien in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carreno Busta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Learner Tien - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Learner Tien - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Learner Tien - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Learner Tien - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Omni Kumar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWW?L

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