Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday


	Roman Safiullin		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.88	1.89
	1.88	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
50.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Roman Safiullin - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Change in tournament draw.

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 66. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 513.

Safiullin in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
17.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Roman Safiullin - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Max Purcell - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWLW

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