Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Lichtenstein R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.7
	1.5	2.79
	1.48	2.73	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.91)	2.75 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
65.4%

Aleksandar Vukic
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	0%	19.4%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 300. Vukic is ranked ATP: 94.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Omni Kumar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Max Purcell - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WW?LW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Daniel Evans - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.24	Nuno Borges - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

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