Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Mohammedia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Leonie Rabl		Lya Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.78	1.92
	1.81	2.02
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.23)	1.89 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonie Rabl
50.6%

Lya Fernandez
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonie Rabl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonie Rabl's performance.

Lya Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lya Fernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonie Rabl than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonie Rabl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lya Fernandez than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lya Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonie Rabl - Lya Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rabl is ranked WTA: 1469. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 930.

Rabl is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fernandez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fernandez could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Fernandez will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonie Rabl
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Maria Garcia Cid - Leonie Rabl	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Leonie Rabl - Nour El Ouazzani	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Leonie Rabl - Ekaterina Perelygina	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Martina Colmegna - Leonie Rabl	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Valeriya Yushchenko - Leonie Rabl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Lya Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
23.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Anna Kubareva	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Karla Popovic	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Andre Lukosiute - Lya Fernandez	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Manon Favier	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Laia Petretic	Fernandez L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWW?

Leonie Rabl - Lya Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide