Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALINAS (ECUADOR), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 July 2023, Monday


	Li Tu		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.35
	1.59	2.38
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)	2.25 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
58.4%

Dane Sweeny
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Li Tu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Li Tu - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sweeny is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sweeny could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Newport
19.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Li Tu - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
17.07.23	Li Tu - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Li Tu - Matija Pecotic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Li Tu - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
20.07.23	James McCabe - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
19.07.23	Dane Sweeny - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Dane Sweeny - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
05.07.23	Dane Sweeny - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Dane Sweeny - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.11.21	Dane Sweeny - Li Tu	1:2
26.08.21	Dane Sweeny - Li Tu	1:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
02.11.20	Dane Sweeny - Li Tu	2:0

Li Tu - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide