Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: QU Z. (Chn)


	Li Tu		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.26	1.66
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.17	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.01)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
42.6%

Mattia Bellucci
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Li Tu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Li Tu - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bellucci will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Mark Lajal - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Li Tu - Antoine Escoffier	Canceled ✺
16.04.24	James McCabe - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Paul Jubb - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.03.24	Li Tu - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
26.04.24	James Duckworth - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Jules Marie - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Mattia Bellucci - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Soon Woo Kwon - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.10.21	Li Tu - Mattia Bellucci	2:0
09.09.21	Li Tu - Mattia Bellucci	1:2

Li Tu - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide