Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 3 (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: QU Z. (Chn)


	Jules Marie		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.4	1.28
	3.55	1.31
	3.55	1.31
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.31	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.45)	1.3 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
27.8%

Mattia Bellucci
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jules Marie's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jules Marie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Jules Marie - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Alex Bolt - Jules Marie	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Arthur Fery - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.24	Jules Marie - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Jules Marie - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Mattia Bellucci - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Soon Woo Kwon - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Mattia Bellucci - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Jules Marie	2:0
19.10.22	Mattia Bellucci - Jules Marie	2:0

Jules Marie - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide