Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Liam Broady		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.31
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)	2.24 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
58.6%

Murphy Cassone
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Broady's performance.

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murphy Cassone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Broady that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murphy Cassone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Liam Broady - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Broady will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Broady is ranked ATP: 247. Cassone is ranked ATP: 250.

Broady is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cassone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Broady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Broady - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.59%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
04.04.26	Liam Broady - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Liam Broady - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Andre Ilagan - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Liam Broady - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Dan Added - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Martin Krumich - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
23.08.22	Murphy Cassone - Liam Broady	1:2

Liam Broady - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide