Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.76
	1.24	3.84	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.22	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	3.69 ↑ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
74.5%

Murphy Cassone
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murphy Cassone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murphy Cassone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 77. Cassone is ranked ATP: 256.

Bellucci is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cassone has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Dan Added - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Martin Krumich - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Murphy Cassone - Mattia Bellucci	1:2

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