Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Murphy Cassone		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.89	1.99
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
50.8%

Pavel Kotov
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Murphy Cassone will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Murphy Cassone will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 275. Kotov is ranked ATP: 402.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Kotov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Dan Added - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Martin Krumich - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Pavel Kotov - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Pavel Kotov - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	Kotov P. retired ✺
08.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWL?W

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